Rates and inflation, United States
Effective fed fundsTarget 3.75–4.00%
3.88%22 Oct 2026, dailyCPI-U, year on yearGaps
3.74%Sep 2026; 11 of 12 months stored10-year yield↑ 0.30 pt
4.99%Sep 2026, monthly10-year breakeven↑ 0.06 pt
2.35%Sep 2026, monthlyLast 5 years, month end
Effective fed funds10-year yieldCPI-U, year on year
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All US series
Each keeps its own date| Series | Latest | As of | A year ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Effective federal funds rate | 3.88% | 22 Oct 2026 | 4.11% | ↓ −0.23 pt |
| Federal funds target range | 3.75–4.00% | 22 Oct 2026 | – | – |
| CPI-U, year on year | 3.74% | Sep 2026 | 3.01% | ↑ +0.73 pt |
| 5-year Treasury breakeven inflation | 2.36% | Sep 2026 | 2.43% | ↓ −0.06 pt |
| 10-year Treasury breakeven inflation | 2.35% | Sep 2026 | 2.37% | ↓ −0.02 pt |
| 30-year Treasury breakeven inflation | 2.28% | Sep 2026 | 2.26% | ↑ +0.02 pt |
| 2-year Treasury yield (nominal) | 4.65% | Sep 2026 | 3.57% | ↑ +1.08 pt |
| 5-year Treasury yield (nominal) | 4.80% | Sep 2026 | 3.66% | ↑ +1.14 pt |
| 10-year Treasury yield (nominal) | 4.99% | Sep 2026 |
Stored official series, not live. Breakevens are monthly averages of daily values.Sources